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Independent researchSIGNAL & SELF

Methodology

The method is the argument

Most fights in this domain are not about compassion. They are about what a given design can bear. This page is a field guide, not a statistics course.

Designs you will meet here

Confounding

Sleep, poverty, parenting, school, prior diagnosis, loneliness, and platform use travel together. If a paper “controls for some of these,” ask whether it controlled the ones that actually sit on the back door.

Selection bias

Clinic samples over-represent the unusual. Social-media samples over-represent the online. Hashtag samples over-represent the identified. Every sampling frame is an argument.

Reporting bias

Destigmatization changes what people will tick on a questionnaire. That can look like a prevalence epidemic. Foulkes and Andrews (2023) ask us to test that rather than waive it away or treat it as the whole story.

The reverse-causation problem

This question should haunt the whole project:

Does social media exposure contribute to distress? Or do distressed adolescents use social media differently? Or do both processes occur?

Heffer et al. (2019) found evidence consistent with depressive symptoms predicting later social-media use more than the reverse. Other longitudinal papers find residual associations after covariates. Bidirectional looping is a live possibility. Time-use studies still do not answer the content-and-identity questions this site is built around.

Distinctions this site treats as methodological, not rhetorical